Showing posts with label Reinhart. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Reinhart. Show all posts

Thursday, April 25, 2013

The Austerity Chicanery

By Jeff Simpson


What matters to me is that I do what I think is right and I see, I'm a numbers guy, that's my attitude. I know we have a debt tsunami coming, we are bankrupting this country and I'm in a position where I can actually advance ideas to prevent that from happening. That's exactly what I should be doing.

Last year, the US Department of Education administered the National Assessment of Educational Progress administered an economics test and found out less than half of high school seniors are proficient in economics.  

Fewer than half of high school seniors are proficient in economics, according to the results of the 2012 National Assessment of Educational Progress exam released Wednesday. This statistic is causing alarm among educators and advocates, especially in an era marked by economic crisis.

While that is disturbing, it only scratches the surface.  There is something that is truly alarming going on.   While less than half of high school seniors are not proficient in economics, an even greater percentage of Congress is not proficient in economics led by our friend, Paul Ryan (R- Wall St.).

Paul Ryan has fashioned a career advancing his austerity agenda, there is only one problem, his whole philosophy is flawed.  Seriously flawed!

Echoing the messaging of billionaire-funded groups such as the “Fix the Debt” coalition, Ryan has argued that any “pain” suffered by working Americans—in the form of restructurings of Social Security, Medicare or Medicaid, post office closures and cuts to state and local aid—was necessary in order to avoid an economic meltdown.

"Economists who have studied sovereign debt tell us that letting total debt rise above 90 per cent of GDP creates a drag on economic growth and intensifies the risk of a debt-fueled economic crisis," Ryan told a congressional hearing in 2011. When he accepted the Republican vice presidential nomination in Tampa, Ryan brought that sense of urgency into the national spotlight, declaring that "a defining responsibility of government is to steer our nation clear of a debt crisis while there is still time."

Since the defeat of his national candidacy, Ryan has continued to claim that the threat of economic ruin is so clear that—despite their rejection at the polls—his proposals must be adopted by President Obama and Congress. This has been and remains a steady message from Ryan, whose “Path to Prosperity” budget proposal rests on the premise that economists have "found conclusive empirical evidence that [debt] exceeding 90 percent of the economy has a significant negative effect on economic growth."

But the 90 percent threshold is a false precipice based on a false premise.
See Ryan's whole premise was upended when a 28 year old grad student(Thomas Herndon) sat down with the numbers.  

What Herndon had discovered was that by making a sloppy computing error, Reinhart and Rogoff had forgotten to include a critical piece of data about countries with high debt-to-GDP ratios that would have affected their overall calculations. They had also excluded data from Canada, New Zealand, and Australia — all countries that experienced solid growth during periods of high debt and would thus undercut their thesis that high debt forestalls growth.


Herndon was stunned. As a graduate student, he'd just found serious problems in a famous economic study — the academic equivalent of a D-league basketball player dunking on LeBron James. "They say seeing is believing, but I almost didn’t believe my eyes," he says. "I had to ask my girlfriend — who's a Ph.D. student in sociology — to double-check it. And she said, 'I don't think you're seeing things, Thomas.'"

So what did the original authors, Reinhart and Rogoff, have to say about their flawed study?  Oops

While other economists have been telling us that Austerity does NOT work, it did not stop our friends on the right from using this research to preach he need for austerity!  This research has been used to justify the economic mess all over the world, and even the International Monetary Fund's Top Economist had to say OOPs

As Crooks and Liars says, we instituted this failed austerity agenda all over the world because of a coding error!   Ouch!   

By the way the number of republican politicians in the US who have admitted the error of their ways in using this data is already up to 0.   I guess Paul Ryan is as fake of a numbers guy as he is a conservative

Raise your hand if your surprised!   

Here is Mr. Herndon's original paper.   





 



 

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

There's No Cronyism Like Old Cronyism

With Scott Walker and four Republican state senators facing recalls, not to mention the regular elections coming up in the fall, this bumbling boogle of weasels are the Democrats best weapon.

Walkergate has steadily been picking and you can almost see Walker's bald spot grow by the day as the stress weighs on him.

On top of that, you have WISGOP inadvertently showing their true colors with the ongoing escapades in their gerrymandering scandal.

It's well known that the Republicans manipulated the redistricting in such a foul way that even other Republicans were calling them out on it.

Only months later was it revealed that the deal was more rotten than anticipated.

The Republicans and the legal brain trusts at not just one, but two, law firms are as thick as thieves and were doing a lot of shady backroom dealing, including pacts of secrecy.  They were also bringing in disreputable people like Scott Jensen and others to configure the new districts not only to give themselves the best chance for reelection, but to given the biggest boon to the would be profiteers, like the school choice reprobates.

But as with all criminal acts, this one was indeed found out and exposed for what it was.

A group of Democratic citizens and a Latino advocacy group, Voces de la Frontera, filed a lawsuit in federal court.  The three justice panel has been busy tearing into the Republicans up one side and down the other, giving heavy fines and even heavier criticisms to their frivolous stunts and delay tactics.

The latest news from this is that despite being given a more than ample opportunity to cooperatively make corrections to their gerrymandered maps, the Republicans stubbornly refused to let go of their corruption.  As a token of how corrupt and malodorous their actions have been, their own legal counsel will now have to be a witness in the case against them.

With the Republicans' favorite personal law firm compromised due to the corruption, Scott Walker came to the rescue by calling on another law firm which he had a long and sordid history with, and not only did he call on them, he rewarded them for coming to their aid:
The case comes to trial just as Gov. Scott Walker nearly doubles the amount in taxpayer money that can be spent on outside attorneys assisting the Department of Justice on the lawsuit. Documents released Wednesday show Reinhart Boerner Van Deuren has billed the state $288,000 so far for its work, and that the cap on its contract is being raised from $500,000 to $925,000. 
Those costs are in addition to the $400,000 that Republican lawmakers have committed to two law firms that helped them draw the maps.
Yep, the Republicans are spending more than one million taxpayers dollars to give to use a crony law firm to defend themselves and another crony law firm against charges of corruption.

Ironic enough for you?

Now, I know that the gentle reader is thinking something to the effect of "Well, yeah, we all know that Michael Best & Friedrich being dirty as sin, but what's the big deal about those Reinhart guys?"

Well, like I said earlier, Walker has a long and sordid past with them.  When Milwaukee County tried to recoup some of the hundreds of millions of dollars they lost in the pension scandal, Walker refused to allow the county to sue this law firm, even though they helped create it and gave it the legal thumbs up.  Why?  Here's what happened in a nutshell:
In 2005, the County Board, over the objections of Walker, held a press conference announcing that they intended to file a lawsuit. Walker then switched positions (a common behavior of his - just think about the stimulus funding flip flops) and started to back the lawsuit against Mercer.

However, as noted in the cited section from MJS, Walker refused to go with a lawsuit against the legal firm that was supposed to be giving legal advise about the pension enhancers, Reinhart Boerner Van Deuren.

There were a couple of reasons for Walker's resistance. One reason was pointed out by Bruce Murphy:
He declined to pursue legal action against the Reinhart Boerner Van Deuren law firm for the advice it gave county officials on the pension plan. The head of the firm, back when Walker made this decision, was then state Republican chair Rick Graber, who had donated campaign money to Walker.
The other reason is covered by Gretchen Schuldt at her old Story Hill site:
A judge has rejected plaintiffs in a lawsuit related to the county pension scandal have no standing to pursue their claim that lawyers with the Reinhart Boerner Van Deuren firm have a conflict of interest in the case, according to Journal Sentinel.

Reinhart lawyers helped design the pension package and are defending the county in the lawsuit, filed on behalf of county employees who claim the enhancements were improperly enacted, among other things.
If one keeps reading, the gentle reader would see how the law firm is tied up into the whole pension scandal. Yet due to his own political aspirations, Walker refused to seek all of the potential remedies available that he could have used to help the County in desperate budgetary times.
In summary, Walker and WISGOP, in order to enhance their own personal and political wealth, set about to illegally gerrymander the voting districts in the state. To carry out their schemes, they bring in two crony law firms that have already benefited greatly from Republican largesse, and they get entangled in the corruption as well. In order to try to pull their weasel tails out of the fire, Walker then brings in and gives a million dollars to a third law firm that he has a sullied history with.

I don't think that the Republicans are ever going to be able to raise a defense fund big enough to save them from themselves.

Thursday, July 29, 2010

Does This Mean The County Will Sue Them Soon?

mkepolitics, the creation of BizTimes.com and WisPolitics.com is reporting that Rick Graber is taking a new job:
Former state GOP Chair RICK GRABER has left the Milwaukee office of Reinhart Boerner Van Deuren as he prepares to take a job with Honeywell in Brussels. Graber rejoined the law firm last year after a stint as the U.S. ambassador to the Czech Republic. GraberHe said he'll be responsible for government relations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa for Honeywell. Graber begins the expected three-year job with Honeywell in early August, but won't move to Brussels until October.
The question now is will Scott Walker be finally willing to let the county pursue the long overdue lawsuit against Reinhart Boerner Van Deuren for their role in the pension scandal, giving Milwaukee County tax payers some much needed relief, or does he still owe for the political favors he's been getting from Graber?

Friday, August 21, 2009

Mercer Trial Revisited

Three months ago, Milwaukee County agreed to a settlement with Mercer regarding the first pension scandal.

But just when you thought that puppy could be put to rest, here comes other people who want a piece of the settlement pie.

Travelers Casualty and Surety Group has filed a claim for $1.3 million regarding the settlement.

It appears that they're biggest complaint is that they had to dish out money to defend the county's pension system from retired members who thought that they should be automatically given benefits that weren't in place before they retired. (To me, that would be like trying to sue a car maker because they came out with a new and improved version of your car five years later, saying they ripped you off. )

Now, I am not a lawyer, nor do I play one on the Intertubes, but it seems to me that the insurer's claim is a little lame as well. They were getting paid to do their jobs, which they did admirably well, and I am sure that they were also compensated fairly well.

But if they were to make a claim against anyone, they should have either filed their own lawsuit against Mercer, or joined with Milwaukee County in its lawsuit. Its kind of funny how people (or in this case, businesses) can be against socialism until they find out they could possibly get something for nothing.

But this also reminds me of another question. Is Walker ever going to finish the job regarding the pension scandals and sue Reinhart?